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Global budget smartphone sales to drop 40% by 2030 as 230 million fewer units ship

Daniel Cross 0 comments 2 min read

Global sales of smartphones under $200 are forecast to fall 40% by 2030, leaving 230 million fewer budget units annually as rising chip costs force manufacturers to pivot.

The era of cheap smartphones is ending faster than most buyers expect. Counterpoint Research forecasts a 40 percent drop in global sales for devices priced under $200 between 2025 and 2030. This shift means approximately 230 million fewer budget phones will reach consumers each year. Shoppers looking for affordable entry-level devices will find the market shrinking rapidly.

Manufacturers abandon low-end tier as chip costs squeeze margins

Manufacturers are pulling back from the low-end segment because production costs are rising too steeply. The price of memory chips and processors is squeezing margins for companies that rely on volume sales. Instead of fighting for pennies in the budget tier, brands are redirecting their resources toward higher-value products. This strategic pivot leaves a significant gap in the market for price-sensitive buyers.

The financial pressure is forcing a clear split in the smartphone landscape. While the sub-$200 category contracts, sales of phones priced at $200 or more are projected to grow by 26 percent over the same five-year period. Companies are concentrating on midrange devices that offer 5G connectivity, larger storage capacities, and on-device AI features. These specifications justify the higher price points that manufacturers now need to maintain profitability.

The consequences extend beyond just retail prices and corporate balance sheets. Emerging markets may experience a slowdown in mobile internet adoption because affordable new devices are becoming scarce. Without the influx of low-cost hardware, many users in developing regions will struggle to access modern mobile services. The industry is prioritizing feature-rich midrange phones, but this comes at the expense of global accessibility for the most budget-conscious consumers.

Source: NotebookCheck

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